By Professor Nassir Hussein Kahin, Gollis University, Hargeisa
Somaliland’s November 13, 2024, presidential elections have drawn widespread acclaim from international observers, further strengthening its case for recognition as an independent state. Over 100 observers from more than 25 countries, including ambassadors from the UK, Denmark, and Norway, monitored the elections, describing the process as free, fair, and peaceful. Their findings underline Somaliland’s commitment to democratic values, setting it apart in the Horn of Africa and beyond.
International Observers Validate Somaliland’s Democracy
Election observers hailed Somaliland’s robust voter turnout and effective biometric voting system, which ensured transparency and mitigated fraud. High-ranking diplomats, including British and Nordic officials, commended the National Election Commission (NEC) for its meticulous organization and swift handling of grievances.
The delegation noted that minor infractions, such as isolated altercations and procedural errors, were promptly addressed under NEC protocols. These reports affirm Somaliland’s capacity to manage elections independently, reflecting its democratic maturity.
Such endorsements have practical implications. As Gavin Williamson, a UK Parliament member, stated during his campaign for Somaliland’s recognition, “Somaliland demonstrates stability, democracy, and rule of law—values we must encourage internationally.” Williamson emphasized that Somaliland’s elections contrast sharply with the chaos in Somalia, strengthening its claim for international recognition  .
Geopolitical Importance: The Red Sea and Beyond
Somaliland’s elections coincide with growing geopolitical interest in the Horn of Africa. The strategic Berbera Port, developed with UAE investment, positions Somaliland as a key player in securing Red Sea trade routes. Its stability and democratic governance make it an attractive partner for Western nations, particularly the United States and the United Kingdom.
The U.S. has shown cautious interest, with experts predicting that President Donald Trump could use Somaliland as a regional counterbalance to instability and extremism. Trump’s transactional diplomacy aligns well with Somaliland’s strategic offerings, including its support for counter-terrorism and maritime security.
Ethiopia has also welcomed Somaliland’s stability, seeing it as critical for regional economic integration and security. In contrast, Somalia’s sovereignty claims appear increasingly tenuous, weakened by Somaliland’s consistent democratic successes.
Challenges from Regional Opponents
Despite international support, countries like Egypt and Turkey remain opposed to Somaliland’s recognition. These nations prioritize Somalia’s territorial integrity, fearing that recognizing Somaliland could set a precedent for secessionist movements elsewhere. Egypt and Eritrea, in particular, view Somaliland’s emergence as a potential shift in the Red Sea’s power dynamics, which could favor the UAE and Ethiopia.
The Path to Recognition
Somaliland’s 2024 elections reinforce its argument for statehood, proving its democratic credentials and governance capabilities. International observers’ validation provides Somaliland with diplomatic leverage, particularly with allies in the UK and the U.S. Gavin Williamson’s advocacy in the UK Parliament has already reignited debates on recognizing Somaliland, citing its strategic importance and democratic track record .
For Somaliland, recognition would mean greater access to global institutions, economic aid, and security partnerships. For the international community, acknowledging Somaliland would promote stability in a volatile region and safeguard critical maritime trade routes.
A Democratic Beacon in the Horn of Africa
Somaliland’s peaceful elections and smooth transition of power mark it as a beacon of hope in the Horn of Africa. As its leaders advocate for recognition, the world must acknowledge Somaliland’s role in fostering peace, democracy, and prosperity.
With international backing and a commitment to governance, Somaliland is poised to solidify its position as a key player in regional and global affairs.
