The people of Somaliland were the architects of Somali unity in 1960 when they voluntarily united with Italian Somalia to establish the Somali Republic. Their choice was motivated by Pan-Somali nationalism and the aspiration for a greater Somali. Instead of receiving recognition for their sacrifice, Somaliland experienced marginalization, tyranny, and bloodshed under the Siad Barre government, culminating in the genocide of the 1980s.
Following this treachery, Somaliland appropriately opted to restore its independence in 1991 and has since established one of Africa’s most stable and effective democracies. In contrast to the rest of Somalia, which is fragmented, Somaliland has conducted peaceful elections, established a strong administrative framework, and promoted economic development—all without international recognition. This illustrates that the people of Somaliland are not merely survivors of a failed union, but are pioneers of self-determination and democratic achievement.
The Federal Government of Somalia has once more exhibited its hostility towards the tranquil and stable Republic of Somaliland by deliberate political aggression. This morning, Somalia’s Prime Minister intruded into the district of Laascaanood, constituting a blatant infringement of Somaliland’s sovereignty and a direct provocation. This action is not a diplomatic gesture but a strategic endeavor to undermine regional stability by supporting the SSC militia.
Somaliland has upheld peace, democracy, and self-governance for more than thirty years, operating as an independent entity. Conversely, Somalia has consistently failed to achieve enduring stability and is now attempting to export its turmoil into Somaliland’s regions. Mogadishu’s decision to dispatch its Prime Minister to Laascaanood is direct interference in Somaliland’s internal matters, thereby empowering armed factions and provoking conflict. This is not an expression of togetherness but a conspicuous effort to subvert Somaliland’s sovereignty via destabilization.
The timing of this provocation is deliberate. Somalia, unable of asserting dominion over its borders or vanquishing Al-Shabaab, is now directing its aggressiveness against Somaliland in an attempt to distract from its own shortcomings. By endorsing the SSC militia, Mogadishu is exacerbating violence in a region that has experienced relative tranquility under Somaliland’s governance. This imprudent conduct jeopardizes the onset of a comprehensive conflict, displacing civilians and undermining the delicate stability that Somaliland has diligently established.
The global community must acknowledge Somalia’s activities as a perilous escalation intended to incite confrontation with Somaliland. Mogadishu has opted for hostility instead of engaging in discussion or acknowledging Somaliland’s right to self-determination. If Somalia genuinely desired peace, it would refrain from dispatching high-ranking officials to provoke unrest or equipping militias against a tranquil neighbor. Somaliland urges the international community to denounce Somalia’s intervention and to make Mogadishu responsible for its destabilizing activities.
The geopolitical dynamics of the Horn of Africa are seeing a notable transformation, offering Somaliland a unique opportunity to establish itself as a stable and strategically important ally for Western democracies and major global actors. The prolonged volatility and fragility of the Somalia state sharply contrast with Somaliland’s sustained endeavors to establish a functional, democratic society and uphold relative calm in a tumultuous region. The international world, especially the United States and other Western democracies, has increasingly recognized this divergence and Somaliland’s strategic importance. Somaliland’s strategic position along essential commercial routes adjacent to the Gulf of Aden renders it a crucial asset in combating piracy, safeguarding maritime security, and promoting regional stability. In an environment where Somalia grapples with internal discord and the ongoing menace of terrorism, Somaliland presents a dependable and consistent ally. This intrinsic strategic worth serves as a compelling attraction for governments aiming to protect their interests in this vital waterway.
The heightened interest from countries such as the United States is apparent in their augmented diplomatic involvement and security collaboration. The US, acknowledging the constraints of operating in a fragmented Somalia, is pragmatically seeking to collaborate with a visibly secure state such as Somaliland to fulfill mutual security goals. The United Kingdom, due to its historical connections, retains a strong interest in Somaliland’s advancement and stability, perceiving it as a beneficial influence in the region. Their continuous diplomatic efforts and developmental aid highlight this acknowledgment. In addition to conventional Western friends, several states are acknowledging Somaliland’s potential. Taiwan, a dynamic democracy confronting worldwide recognition, has proactively cultivated relations with Somaliland by establishing reciprocal representative offices. This emerging alliance underscores a mutual dedication to democratic principles and a realistic strategy for international collaborations.
Israel, aiming to expand its strategic partnerships in the region, identifies Somaliland as a potentially dependable and non-adversarial entity. Although formal relations have not yet been established, the reciprocal advantages of collaboration in sectors such as security and technology may facilitate closer interaction. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has manifested its strategic interest in Somaliland with substantial expenditures in infrastructure, notably the Berbera port. This economic involvement highlights Somaliland’s potential as a commerce and logistical center, hence augmenting its strategic significance globally.
Considering Somalia’s enduring difficulties in forming a cohesive and functional central government, the likelihood of a unified and stable Somalia in the foreseeable future seems more unlikely. This situation necessitates that Western nations and other global stakeholders pursue a realistic strategy, collaborating with institutions that exhibit stability and provide dependable partnerships. Somaliland, possessing established democratic credentials, a strategic location, and increasing international interest, is positioned to leverage this unique opportunity. By further enhancing its democratic institutions, promoting economic development, and actively participating in the international community, Somaliland can reinforce its status as a vital partner, potentially resulting in increased international recognition and ensuring its long-term stability and prosperity. The existing geopolitical landscape, along with Somaliland’s domestic progress, generates significant impetus that progressive nations must not overlook.
Author:
Mr. Mousse Abdi Mohamoud, Senior Economist and commentator in Somali politics. PhD student in Industrial Economics.
Email: muuze438@gmail.com
